Finn's Take· TL;DRTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) delivered a stunning 58% jump in first-quarter net profit to a record NT$572.5 billion ($18.2 billion), handily beating analyst expectations and marking its fourth consecutive quarter of record profits. Revenue for the January-March period reached NT$1.134 trillion (about $35.7 billion), reflecting a 35% year-over-year rise and beating market forecasts.
The world's largest contract chipmaker continues to benefit from what CEO C.C. Wei described as "extremely robust" AI-related demand, with advances in AI driving increased computation and demand. This performance represents TSMC's eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit profit growth, driven primarily by surging global demand for advanced artificial intelligence processors and high-performance computing chips.
TSMC's high-performance computing division, which includes AI and 5G applications, accounted for the majority of sales in the first quarter, rising to 61% of revenue. Advanced chips, defined as 7-nanometer or smaller, made up about 74% of TSMC's total wafer revenue in the quarter. Most remarkably, chips built on the cutting-edge 3-nanometer node have grown to represent a quarter of TSMC's total revenue, a dramatic rise from just 6% in the third quarter of 2023.
Major clients, including Apple (for its M-series and A-series chips) and Nvidia (for AI accelerators), contributed to the strong results as demand for AI infrastructure continued to outpace supply. According to William Li, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, AI chip demand has pushed TSMC's manufacturing capacity to its limits, with demand still significantly outpacing supply and showing no major signs of slowing down.
TSMC raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth forecast to more than 30% year over year in U.S. dollar terms, while projecting second-quarter revenue of $39 billion to $40.2 billion, representing a 10% sequential increase. The company expects capital spending this year to rise as much as 37% to between $52 billion and $56 billion, reflecting its expansion efforts and confidence that demand will remain strong.
During Thursday's earnings call, executives announced plans to add an advanced chip fabrication plant in Tainan, Taiwan, as part of global capacity expansion efforts. To keep pace with straining demand, TSMC is scaling up 3-nanometer wafer output at sites in Taiwan, the U.S., and Japan, targeting expanded mass production volumes in 2027 and 2028, with the Arizona buildout representing a $165 billion commitment to U.S. manufacturing.
According to analysts, the sold-out environment will remain a defining characteristic of the semiconductor industry throughout 2026, as semiconductor companies simply can't keep products on their shelves. The earnings beat suggests the market's biggest AI customers are still spending aggressively on computing capacity, despite earlier concerns about geopolitics, logistics, and technology valuations.
TSMC's market capitalization has reached approximately $1.7 trillion, close to twice the valuation of Samsung Electronics, its South Korean peer. Despite the record-breaking results, the company faces ongoing challenges in meeting unprecedented demand while navigating geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain complexities that continue to shape the global semiconductor landscape.