Finn's Take· TL;DRUkraine, Russia, and the United States held their first trilateral meeting since Russia launched a full-scale invasion nearly four years ago in February 2022 , marking a potentially significant breakthrough in diplomatic efforts to end the devastating conflict. The first round of talks between US, Russian and Ukrainian negotiators in Abu Dhabi ended Friday evening, with new discussions planned for Saturday .
A White House official described the initial meeting as "productive," stating that "conversations will continue tomorrow" . The talks follow President Donald Trump's lead negotiators special envoy Steve Witkoff and his son-in-law Jared Kushner meeting for four hours with Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin into the early hours of Friday.
The discussions in the Emirati capital came a day after Zelenskyy met with Trump at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland . Ahead of the meeting with Putin, Witkoff said that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are now down to "one issue" and "we have discussed iterations of that issue, and that means it's solvable" .
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the "Donbas issue" is "key" to any potential agreement. The Kremlin reiterated that Putin's territorial demands remain the same, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov stating that "Ukraine and the Ukrainian Armed Forces must leave the territory of Donbas and withdraw from there. This is a very important condition" .
"Russia demands that the Ukrainian army leave the Donbas region, which is unacceptable to Ukraine" , highlighting the fundamental disagreement that has stalled previous negotiations. Experts note that "the Ukrainians are still willing to fight for it and it's unlikely for the Russians to take militarily," with one analyst stating "I just simply don't see how Ukrainians would agree to giving it up, because it would also create a huge threat for future escalations" .
A source close to the Kremlin said Russia considers a so-called "Anchorage formula," which would hand Russia control of all of Donbas and freeze the current front lines elsewhere in Ukraine's east and south . However, Trump administration officials had projected confidence over reaching a deal in recent days, saying territorial control of eastern Ukraine is the last remaining sticking point, but experts remain skeptical an agreement is possible yet .
Russia's delegation is headed by Admiral Igor Kostyukov and comprised of military officials, while the US delegation includes Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Army Secretary Dan Driscoll and NATO's top general, US Air Force General Alexus Grynkewich . The talks are at a technical level and do not include heads of state but represent a notable diplomatic engagement .
Zelenskyy said he had discussed economic incentives with Trump, including the creation of a "free economic zone," as well as the possible supply of additional air defence systems, and that the question of territory would be discussed during the Abu Dhabi meeting . He also announced that a deal on US security guarantees for Ukraine was ready, and that he was only waiting on Trump for a specific date and place to sign it .
The tripartite talks unfold against a backdrop of intensified Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy system that have cut power and heating to major cities like Kyiv, as temperatures hover well below freezing . The head of Ukraine's top private power producer said the situation was nearing a "humanitarian catastrophe" and that Ukraine needs a ceasefire that halts attacks on energy .
In a statement shared on Telegram, Zelenskyy said he was in regular contact with the Ukrainian delegation, but it was too early to draw conclusions from Friday's talks, noting "We'll see how the conversation goes tomorrow and what the outcome will be" . With the conflict set to grind into a fifth year next month, Kyiv and Moscow have come under intense pressure from the US to secure a peace deal .
While these talks represent the most significant diplomatic engagement since the war began, the fundamental disagreements over territory and security guarantees suggest that reaching a comprehensive settlement will require substantial compromises from all parties involved.